Recent polling in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin from Marist indicates highly competitive races, with a slight edge for Harris in Michigan and Wisconsin.
The Marist poll shows Harris leading Trump among likely voters with 51% to 48% in Michigan, 50% to 48% in Wisconsin, and 50% to 48% in Pennsylvania. These figures, based on a direct Harris-Trump matchup and excluding third-party candidates, fall within each poll's margin of error, suggesting no definitive leader.
However, five recent polls in Michigan and three in Wisconsin show Harris with a small numerical advantage in both states. CNN’s Poll of Polls reflects a 49% to 46% lead for Harris over Trump in both Michigan and Wisconsin.
In Pennsylvania, the race appears even closer, with results across six polls showing no clear leader. Three polls report a tie, one shows Trump with a slight 1-point edge, and two show Harris with a narrow lead. These findings highlight an extremely close contest for Pennsylvania’s 19 electoral votes, with CNN’s Poll of Polls currently reflecting a 48% to 48% tie.
