The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) says strong monsoon winds from the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal are entering Pakistan. A low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal is expected to move west on August 17, which will make the monsoon activity stronger. A westerly weather system is also present in the country.
Because of these conditions, widespread monsoon rains with scattered heavy and sometimes very heavy showers are expected across Pakistan on Sunday evening or night and throughout the coming week.
Kashmir/Gilgit-Baltistan: Intermittent monsoon rains with scattered heavy and at times hefty falls are likely in Kashmir (Neelum Valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber and Mirpur), and in GB (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche and Shigar) from August 17 to August 19.
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Intermittent monsoon rains with scattered heavy and at times hefty falls are likely in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Karak, Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank and Dera Ismail Khan during the above-mentioned period.
Punjab/Islamabad: Intermittent monsoon rains with scattered heavy and at times hefty falls are likely in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Murree, Galiyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad and Sahiwal during the above-mentioned period.
Scattered rains with isolated heavy falls are also likely in Dera Ghazi Khan, Bhakkar, Layyah, Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rajanpur and Rahimyar Khan from August 18 to August 20 with occasional gaps.
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Sindh: Intermittent rains with scattered heavy and at times hefty falls are likely in Mithi, Tharparker, Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Nawabshah, Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Khairpur and Jacobabad from August 17 to August 22.
Balochistan: Intermittent rains with isolated heavy falls are likely in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Qilla Saifullah, Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Kech, Gawadar and Panjgur from August 17 to August 21.
Impacts: Heavy rains could trigger flash floods in local streams and nullahs of Chitral, Dir, Swat, Shangla, Mansehra, Kohistan, Abbottabad, Buner, Charsadda, Nowshera, Swabi, Mardan, Murree, Galiyat, Islamabad/Rawalpindi, northeast Punjab, Kashmir, as well as in the hill torrents of Dera Ghazi Khan and eastern Balochistan.
The downpour may also cause urban flooding in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore, Sialkot, Peshawar, Nowshera, Tharparkar, Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Shaheed Benazirabad, Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tando Allahyar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Khairpur and Jacobabad. Landslides or mudslides may block roads in the vulnerable parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, Murree, Galiyat and Kashmir.
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